Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 308.403632 350.468441 397.662482 454.820028 522.550367 600.716819 698.431337
2025-01-05 240.850930 293.717774 358.574304 445.079612 559.098839 706.641619 916.027362
2025-01-12 206.739642 263.726769 337.802836 443.185794 592.684738 802.668509 1130.315077
2025-01-19 176.301500 232.332167 308.308750 421.724129 591.917394 846.859656 1276.467280
2025-01-26 165.486563 225.159028 309.536019 441.764494 652.024958 989.142906 1606.860270
2025-02-02 158.401462 221.879196 315.158969 468.137696 725.226807 1165.768907 2044.224946
2025-02-09 146.494145 209.915363 305.979392 469.356237 756.566282 1276.728405 2391.909577
2025-02-16 133.706264 195.164744 290.593831 457.855466 763.249036 1343.210177 2668.383016
2025-02-23 123.288131 183.028992 277.934103 449.009335 772.731148 1416.113247 2981.085324
2025-03-02 117.920358 178.356093 276.826864 459.999477 820.979790 1577.169099 3558.176040
2025-03-09 111.133080 170.715585 269.871479 459.282594 845.763245 1693.346912 4066.049463
2025-03-16 103.626452 161.238370 258.815175 449.408211 849.942192 1763.723960 4475.732200
2025-03-23 98.168926 154.992925 253.190007 449.989315 878.054390 1901.443474 5162.110195
2025-03-30 91.730130 146.583989 242.971076 440.344412 882.355826 1982.477685 5713.737344
2025-04-06 86.997822 140.786751 236.973680 438.478129 904.047116 2114.604086 6516.364958
2025-04-13 80.242287 130.904247 222.522173 417.297497 876.555260 2105.640357 6789.262833
2025-04-20 79.081112 131.028079 227.033288 437.075372 952.576852 2414.206809 8547.357960
2025-04-27 78.612132 132.362266 233.973682 463.098739 1050.035594 2822.517768 11118.128563
2025-05-04 75.480797 128.469288 230.181755 464.301000 1082.006634 3031.947599 12912.503023
2025-05-11 71.332281 122.369094 221.436876 452.953480 1077.364537 3115.500012 14097.638130
2025-05-18 67.754632 117.152126 214.119950 444.224599 1078.857472 3222.915731 15548.422606
2025-05-25 66.243583 115.855301 214.844972 455.068991 1139.865489 3576.049330 19054.584205
2025-06-01 63.801790 112.564831 211.088009 454.361641 1166.004096 3803.832581 21999.134427